As we begin the new year it is always a fun time to makeÂ our predictions for the upcoming year. Which companies willÂ flourish? Which will lag behind? Which buzzword will dominate IT inÂ 2013. The Gartner 2013 predictions for IT were initially releasedÂ late October, but I thought this was a better time to review themÂ and provide my point of view on what Gartner is saying for theÂ immediate future of IT.
Through 2015, 90% ofÂ enterprises will bypass broad-scale deployment of WindowsÂ 8. “Windows 8 is Microsoft’s attempt toÂ bring the touch interface to its flagship product to counter gainsÂ by Apple in rapid-growth markets.”
MyÂ POV: Windows 8 may be a “transitional and perhapsÂ easy to bypass OS” allowing the enterprise customers to become moreÂ familiar with Windows 8 type environment. In a couple of years appÂ type environments will become the norm forÂ both commercial and enterprise customers.
ByÂ Year-End 2014, three of the top five mobile handset vendors will beÂ Chinese.
According toÂ this article publishedÂ late OctoberÂ 2012, Samsung, Apple, RIM, ZTE andÂ HTC are top 5 smartphone makers in Q3 2012.
1 Interesting tidbit: With muchÂ negative press coming out about how HTC and ZTE pose a securityÂ threat, it will be interesting to see how things turn out in 2012.Â The article can be found here.
By 2015, bigÂ data demand will reach 4.4 million jobs globally, but onlyÂ one-third of those jobs will be filled. “JobsÂ that are filled will result in real financial and competitiveÂ benefits for organizations.”
MyÂ POV: We have been hearing so much about Big Data andÂ how the Data Scientist is one of IT’s newest and sexiest jobs. IÂ completely agree with this and feel that the companies who realizeÂ this will succeed tremendously over their Â competition. One hurdle IÂ see is how does an IT professional get the proper education needed?Â On the job training? (noone has time for that). Universities andÂ higher education learning facilities? Would you even trust someoneÂ coming out of school toÂ effectivelyÂ dissect, triage and makeÂ intelligent sense and your business data?
By 2014,Â European Union directives will drive legislation to protect jobs,Â reducing offshoring by 20 percent throughÂ 2016. “This does not mean thatÂ organizations would abandon the use of global delivery models, butÂ it would result in the rebalancing of where labor is located withÂ such models.”
My POV: WithÂ the tremendous slowness in European economies, I would hope andÂ completely welcome this initiative. There are many parts ofÂ Europe who over the years have developed great IT talent.
By 2014, IT hiring in major Western markets will comeÂ predominantly from Asian-headquartered companies enjoyingÂ double-digit growth.
By 2017, 40Â percent of enterprise contact information will have leaked intoÂ Facebook via employees’ increased use of mobile deviceÂ collaboration applications. “While manyÂ organizations have been legitimately concerned about the physicalÂ coexistence of consumer and enterprise applications on devices thatÂ interact with IT infrastructure, there has been little discussionÂ about the underlying technologies that permit transfer ofÂ information between legitimate enterprise-controlled applicationsÂ and consumer applications.”
My POV:Â This is an ever growing problem. We are an “always-on” world.Â Children and teenagers don’t know or possibly don’t careÂ where their apps come from or where there shared photos mayÂ end up. Ignorance is bliss right? Security has taken a backseatÂ especially when it comes to the every day consumer. Are peopleÂ really worried? Are people even thinking about it? I have to say,Â there have been times where I have taken the “It won’t happen to meÂ attitude.” Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, Flickr. You name it. IsÂ there any privacy? Our lives have become an openÂ book. Remember when we first heard of “Girls Gone Wild”Â created by Joe Francis. Would Joe Francis have been as successfulÂ if he began his company today. Would people actually pay to get aÂ peek into what he did?
Through 2014, employee-ownedÂ devices will be compromised by malware at more than double the rateÂ of corporate-owned devices. “In the BYOD era,Â security professionals will need to diligently monitorÂ vulnerability announcements and security incidents involving mobileÂ devices and respond appropriately with policy updates.”
My POV: I am a big believer of BYOD.Â Every person is entitled to use the tools they feel mostÂ comfortable with. However as the article states, corporate IT willÂ need to lock down those so called “rogue devices”. If youÂ want to BYOD, then you need to play by house rules. NO EXCEPTIONS.
Through 2014, software spending resulting from theÂ proliferation of smart operational technology will increase by 25Â percent. “Previously “dumb” operational devices orÂ objects, like a vending machine, medical device, marine engine orÂ parking meter, are now having software embedded in them, andÂ sensors are being linked to the Internet to create and receive dataÂ streams.”
My POV: Software is the glueÂ that keeps IT together. Nothing else I can say!
By 2015,Â 40 percent of Global 1000 organizations will use gamification asÂ the primary mechanism to transform business operations.Â “Gamification addresses engagement, transparency of work, Â and connecting employees’ actions to business outcomes.”
My POV: Happy employees are goodÂ employees. Keep them engaged, give them flexibility and let themÂ take part in the building of your company. Companies who don’t riskÂ falling behind. Many smaller companies have understood this andÂ because of their smaller size they are more agile and can adapt aÂ little easier to market conditions. Larger companies who choose notÂ to make employee engagement and happiness a priority, end upÂ looking like sluggish organizations who have difficult timesÂ keeping up with market trends.
By 2016, wearable smartÂ electronics in shoes, tattoos and accessories will emerge as a $10Â billion industry. “Applications and servicesÂ will create new value for consumers, especially when combined withÂ personal preferences, location, biosensing and socialÂ information.”
My POV: IÂ agree with the first part of what Gartner is saying whereÂ individuals will leverage the information collected from theseÂ “smart: accessories. Especially when it comes to personal healthÂ and personal habits. However, I am not sure what they are trying toÂ say about the CIO in 2016? Will the CIO play the same role as theyÂ do today?
By 2014, market consolidation will displace upÂ to 20 percent of the top 100 IT services providers. “ThisÂ will limit and endanger the typical offshore/nearshore approach runÂ by dedicated IT services providers and create low-cost optionsÂ onshore or facilitate a globalized approach to staffing.”
My POV: Are we still having thisÂ argument about offshore/nearshore? It’s about theÂ applications, and delivering results to the business. Yes we areÂ consolidating, but YES we are needing more resources. I prefer toÂ say being smarter with your infrastructure and choosingÂ the services strategically for your business. Consolidating is veryÂ vague. This statement in my opinion is overusedÂ and getting old. “CIOs should reevaluateÂ the providers and types of providers used for IT services, withÂ particular interest in cloud-enabled providers supportingÂ information, mobile and social strategies.” ReadÂ the Gartner 2013 Predictions for IT Organizations inÂ it’s entirety here“.