Gartner 2013 Predictions for IT Organizations

As we begin the new year it is always a fun time to make our predictions for the upcoming year. Which companies will flourish? Which will lag behind? Which buzzword will dominate IT in 2013. The Gartner 2013 predictions for IT were initially released late October, but I thought this was a better time to review them and provide my point of view on what Gartner is saying for the immediate future of IT.

List of Gartner 2013 Predictions

Through 2015, 90% of enterprises will bypass broad-scale deployment of Windows 8. “Windows 8 is Microsoft’s attempt to bring the touch interface to its flagship product to counter gains by Apple in rapid-growth markets.”

My POV: Windows 8 may be a “transitional and perhaps easy to bypass OS” allowing the enterprise customers to become more familiar with Windows 8 type environment. In a couple of years app type environments will become the norm for both commercial and enterprise customers.

By Year-End 2014, three of the top five mobile handset vendors will be Chinese.

According to this article published late October 2012, Samsung, Apple, RIM, ZTE and HTC are top 5 smartphone makers in Q3 2012.

1 Interesting tidbit: With much negative press coming out about how HTC and ZTE pose a security threat, it will be interesting to see how things turn out in 2012. The article can be found here.

By 2015, big data demand will reach 4.4 million jobs globally, but only one-third of those jobs will be filled. Jobs that are filled will result in real financial and competitive benefits for organizations.”

My POV: We have been hearing so much about Big Data and how the Data Scientist is one of IT’s newest and sexiest jobs. I completely agree with this and feel that the companies who realize this will succeed tremendously over their  competition. One hurdle I see is how does an IT professional get the proper education needed? On the job training? (noone has time for that). Universities and higher education learning facilities? Would you even trust someone coming out of school to effectively dissect, triage and make intelligent sense and your business data?

By 2014, European Union directives will drive legislation to protect jobs, reducing offshoring by 20 percent through 2016. “This does not mean that organizations would abandon the use of global delivery models, but it would result in the rebalancing of where labor is located with such models.”

My POV: With the tremendous slowness in European economies, I would hope and completely welcome this initiative. There are many parts of Europe who over the years have developed great IT talent.

By 2014, IT hiring in major Western markets will come predominantly from Asian-headquartered companies enjoying double-digit growth.

No comment.

By 2017, 40 percent of enterprise contact information will have leaked into Facebook via employees’ increased use of mobile device collaboration applications. “While many organizations have been legitimately concerned about the physical coexistence of consumer and enterprise applications on devices that interact with IT infrastructure, there has been little discussion about the underlying technologies that permit transfer of information between legitimate enterprise-controlled applications and consumer applications.”

My POV: This is an ever growing problem. We are an “always-on” world. Children and teenagers don’t know or possibly don’t care where their apps come from or where there shared photos may end up. Ignorance is bliss right? Security has taken a backseat especially when it comes to the every day consumer. Are people really worried? Are people even thinking about it? I have to say, there have been times where I have taken the “It won’t happen to me attitude.” Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, Flickr. You name it. Is there any privacy? Our lives have become an open book. Remember when we first heard of “Girls Gone Wild” created by Joe Francis. Would Joe Francis have been as successful if he began his company today. Would people actually pay to get a peek into what he did?

Through 2014, employee-owned devices will be compromised by malware at more than double the rate of corporate-owned devices. “In the BYOD era, security professionals will need to diligently monitor vulnerability announcements and security incidents involving mobile devices and respond appropriately with policy updates.”

My POV: I am a big believer of BYOD. Every person is entitled to use the tools they feel most comfortable with. However as the article states, corporate IT will need to lock down those so called “rogue devices”. If you want to BYOD, then you need to play by house rules. NO EXCEPTIONS.

Through 2014, software spending resulting from the proliferation of smart operational technology will increase by 25 percent. “Previously “dumb” operational devices or objects, like a vending machine, medical device, marine engine or parking meter, are now having software embedded in them, and sensors are being linked to the Internet to create and receive data streams.”

My POV: Software is the glue that keeps IT together. Nothing else I can say!

By 2015, 40 percent of Global 1000 organizations will use gamification as the primary mechanism to transform business operations. “Gamification addresses engagement, transparency of work,  and connecting employees’ actions to business outcomes.”

My POV: Happy employees are good employees. Keep them engaged, give them flexibility and let them take part in the building of your company. Companies who don’t risk falling behind. Many smaller companies have understood this and because of their smaller size they are more agile and can adapt a little easier to market conditions. Larger companies who choose not to make employee engagement and happiness a priority, end up looking like sluggish organizations who have difficult times keeping up with market trends.

By 2016, wearable smart electronics in shoes, tattoos and accessories will emerge as a $10 billion industry. “Applications and services will create new value for consumers, especially when combined with personal preferences, location, biosensing and social information.”

My POV: I agree with the first part of what Gartner is saying where individuals will leverage the information collected from these “smart: accessories. Especially when it comes to personal health and personal habits. However, I am not sure what they are trying to say about the CIO in 2016? Will the CIO play the same role as they do today?

By 2014, market consolidation will displace up to 20 percent of the top 100 IT services providers. “This will limit and endanger the typical offshore/nearshore approach run by dedicated IT services providers and create low-cost options onshore or facilitate a globalized approach to staffing.”

My POV: Are we still having this argument about offshore/nearshore? It’s about the applications, and delivering results to the business. Yes we are consolidating, but YES we are needing more resources. I prefer to say being smarter with your infrastructure and choosing the services strategically for your business. Consolidating is very vague. This statement in my opinion is overused and getting old. “CIOs should reevaluate the providers and types of providers used for IT services, with particular interest in cloud-enabled providers supporting information, mobile and social strategies.” Read the Gartner 2013 Predictions for IT Organizations in it’s entirety here“.

Thank you.